Regionalliga North Round 30

VfB Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck analysis

VfB Lübeck Phönix Lübeck
64 ELO 67
7.6% Tilt 9.5%
2174º General ELO ranking 1911º
87º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
38.9%
VfB Lübeck
25.6%
Draw
35.5%
Phönix Lübeck

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
VfB Lübeck
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.5%
Win probability
Phönix Lübeck
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfB Lübeck
+9%
+13%
Phönix Lübeck

Points and table prediction

VfB Lübeck
Their league position
Phönix Lübeck
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
11º
56
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Havelse
72
72
100%
BSV Kickers Emden
60
60
100%
Drochtersen / Assel
60
60
100%
Werder Bremen II
58
58
100%
Phönix Lübeck
56
56
100%
SV Meppen
54
54
0%
VfB Lübeck
54
54
0%
 Hamburger SV II
49
49
100%
BW Lohne
47
47
63%
St. Pauli II
10º
45
46
10º
63%
VfB Oldenburg
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Eintracht Norderstedt
12º
43
43
12º
100%
Weiche Flensburg
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Jeddeloh
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Bremer SV
15º
34
35
15º
100%
Teutonia Ottensen
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Holstein Kiel II
17º
28
28
17º
0%
Todesfelde
18º
28
28
18º
0%
Expected probabilities
VfB Lübeck
Phönix Lübeck
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

VfB Lübeck
Phönix Lübeck
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfB Lübeck
VfB Lübeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2025
OTT
Teutonia Ottensen
0 - 5
VfB Lübeck
LUB
27%
24%
49%
63 54 9 0
02 Apr. 2025
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
2 - 3
VfB Lübeck
LUB
53%
23%
24%
63 65 2 0
29 Mar. 2025
LUB
VfB Lübeck
2 - 3
Eintracht Norderstedt
EIN
55%
23%
22%
63 56 7 0
23 Mar. 2025
HAV
Havelse
1 - 1
VfB Lübeck
LUB
56%
23%
21%
62 69 7 +1
15 Mar. 2025
LUB
VfB Lübeck
1 - 0
SV Meppen
MEP
22%
23%
55%
61 73 12 +1

Matches

Phönix Lübeck
Phönix Lübeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2025
FCP
Phönix Lübeck
3 - 1
Jeddeloh
JED
62%
21%
17%
66 57 9 0
30 Mar. 2025
BRE
Bremer SV
3 - 2
Phönix Lübeck
FCP
25%
25%
51%
67 55 12 -1
26 Mar. 2025
FCP
Phönix Lübeck
0 - 0
Werder Bremen II
WER
29%
23%
48%
66 70 4 +1
23 Mar. 2025
FCP
Phönix Lübeck
1 - 0
Drochtersen / Assel
DRO
44%
26%
31%
65 69 4 +1
14 Mar. 2025
WEI
Weiche Flensburg
0 - 0
Phönix Lübeck
FCP
28%
25%
47%
65 58 7 0