Lovcen vs Mogren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
SUT
1 - 1
LOV
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
LOV
1 - 0
MLA
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
LOV
4 - 2
DEC
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
LOV
1 - 1
FKC
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BUD
1 - 0
LOV
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
MOG
3 - 2
FKC
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
BUD
0 - 2
MOG
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 1
PET
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 2
MOG
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
MOG
0 - 0
MLA
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |