Lousada vs Ancede analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lousada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SVP
1 - 3
LOU
12%
18%
70%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LOU
9 - 1
SAL
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FER
2 - 1
LOU
18%
21%
62%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LOU
3 - 1
RAI
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GRI
2 - 2
LOU
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ancede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ANC
0 - 0
FRE
18%
21%
61%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
LAM
1 - 3
ANC
26%
23%
52%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SVP
1 - 3
ANC
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ANC
0 - 1
SAL
61%
20%
19%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |