Loures vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
REA
1 - 2
LOU
41%
26%
32%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
FCB
1 - 1
LOU
30%
28%
42%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
LOU
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LOU
3 - 0
SAC
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
PRA
13%
18%
70%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 4
SCP
4%
11%
85%
|
29 | 86 | 57 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
8 - 1
MAN
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 3
VIL
74%
18%
8%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | +2 |