Loures vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 0
OLI
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 1
LOU
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
LOU
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 0
LOU
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 0
PER
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 1
BEN
35%
26%
38%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 1
CAL
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
LOU
49%
25%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 0
LOU
40%
27%
33%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
TOR
4 - 0
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |