Lourenzá vs SD Chantada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
56.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VDO
3 - 2
LOU
64%
19%
17%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LOU
0 - 3
XOV
34%
23%
43%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
LOU
76%
14%
10%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 0
MUI
30%
22%
48%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ANT
3 - 2
LOU
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SD Chantada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
AGR
29%
26%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 4
OUT
43%
26%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -3 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
CHA
46%
22%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
DUB
15%
23%
63%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
POL
3 - 1
CHA
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |