Lourdes vs Mendi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
12%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 0
LOU
51%
24%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
LOU
3 - 2
PEN
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 0
LOU
63%
21%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
LOU
2 - 2
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SJU
5 - 0
LOU
53%
26%
22%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MEN
0 - 1
RIV
24%
24%
52%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 1
MEN
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 1
MEN
75%
16%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 0
MEN
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
MEN
0 - 0
SJU
22%
25%
54%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |