Lourdes vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 1
LOU
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 1
CHA
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CDA
3 - 0
LOU
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 1
OBE
65%
20%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
LOU
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
CDC
64%
20%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 2
OBE
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
CDC
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 0
IDO
32%
26%
42%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 0
SUB
27%
25%
49%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |