Championship 1 round 21

Loughgall vs Dergview FC analysis

Loughgall Dergview FC
53 ELO 49
26.9% Tilt 4.4%
2840º General ELO ranking 6080º
19º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
72.6%
Loughgall
16.4%
Draw
10.9%
Dergview FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
Loughgall
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.9%
Win probability
Dergview FC
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Loughgall
-34%
-52%
Dergview FC

ELO progression

Loughgall
Dergview FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Loughgall
Loughgall
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2016
LOU
Loughgall
4 - 3
Bangor
BAN
40%
24%
37%
53 58 5 0
05 Mar. 2016
GLE
Glenavon
2 - 1
Loughgall
LOU
85%
11%
5%
52 73 21 +1
27 Feb. 2016
DON
Donegal Celtic
0 - 1
Loughgall
LOU
13%
19%
68%
52 28 24 0
20 Feb. 2016
LCE
Lurgan Celtic
2 - 1
Loughgall
LOU
50%
24%
27%
53 54 1 -1
06 Feb. 2016
LOU
Loughgall
2 - 0
PSNI
PSN
49%
22%
29%
51 52 1 +2

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2016
INS
Institute
0 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
59%
22%
19%
47 52 5 0
12 Mar. 2016
DER
Dergview FC
0 - 1
Armagh City
ARC
40%
24%
37%
48 51 3 -1
27 Feb. 2016
BAN
Bangor
2 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
67%
19%
14%
48 56 8 0
20 Feb. 2016
LAR
Larne
3 - 2
Dergview FC
DER
61%
21%
18%
49 53 4 -1
23 Jan. 2016
DER
Dergview FC
4 - 4
Annagh United
AUN
47%
23%
29%
48 48 0 +1