FA Cup

Loughborough University vs Gresley analysis

Loughborough University Gresley
26 ELO 28
3.8% Tilt -1%
7291º General ELO ranking 10759º
289º Country ELO ranking 606º
ELO win probability
47.1%
Loughborough University
21.3%
Draw
31.5%
Gresley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
Loughborough University
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.6%
Win probability
Gresley
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Loughborough University
Gresley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Loughborough University
Loughborough University
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2016
SHI
Shirebrook Town
0 - 3
Loughborough University
LOU
16%
19%
65%
27 14 13 0
06 Aug. 2016
LOU
Loughborough University
4 - 4
Shirebrook Town
SHI
78%
14%
9%
28 14 14 -1
29 Aug. 2015
LOU
Loughborough University
1 - 2
Long Eaton United
LON
33%
23%
44%
29 36 7 -1
15 Aug. 2015
LOU
Loughborough University
4 - 1
Barrow Town
BAR
81%
13%
6%
28 9 19 +1
14 Sep. 2013
MIC
Mickleover Sports FC
2 - 0
Loughborough University
LOU
58%
20%
21%
30 33 3 -2

Matches

Gresley
Gresley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2016
STO
Stocksbridge Park Steels
1 - 2
Gresley
GRE
75%
15%
10%
25 35 10 0
13 Aug. 2016
GRE
Gresley
2 - 2
Rugby Town
RUG
26%
22%
52%
25 32 7 0
29 Jul. 2016
GRE
Gresley
3 - 2
Burton Albion
BUR
12%
23%
66%
25 66 41 0
23 Apr. 2016
GRE
Gresley
3 - 3
Loughborough Dynamo FC
LOU
61%
21%
18%
25 20 5 0
16 Apr. 2016
DAV
Daventry Town
0 - 7
Gresley
GRE
14%
20%
66%
24 14 10 +1