Loughborough University vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughborough University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
SHI
0 - 3
LOU
16%
19%
65%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LOU
4 - 4
SHI
78%
14%
9%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 2
LON
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LOU
4 - 1
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MIC
2 - 0
LOU
58%
20%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
STO
1 - 2
GRE
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 2
RUG
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 2
BUR
12%
23%
66%
|
25 | 66 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 3
LOU
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DAV
0 - 7
GRE
14%
20%
66%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |