Loudoun United vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
73.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loudoun United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 2
IND
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 1
LOU
67%
19%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
5 - 0
FCU
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 0
ORS
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
3 - 0
BLE
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
COC
1 - 2
IMI
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
COC
1 - 0
IND
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
COC
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
COC
1 - 1
NER
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DCU
0 - 2
COC
25%
25%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |