Lotus Baile Felix vs Olimpia MCMXXI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
5º
4º
29
3º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
35 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 19 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 14 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 13 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 12 |
5º
|
53.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 0 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 46.5% |
|
Relegation
|
46.5% | 53.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lotus Baile Felix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
SNT
3 - 0
BAI
42%
22%
36%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BAI
1 - 2
VIC
63%
19%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BAI
2 - 2
MBM
46%
22%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BAI
2 - 0
MOD
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VIC
1 - 1
BAI
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia MCMXXI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OSM
3 - 0
MOD
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MBM
4 - 2
OSM
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SNT
1 - 1
OSM
60%
18%
22%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OSM
1 - 1
CSC
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
ZAL
3 - 2
OSM
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |