Scottish Cup 1/256
Global 7-4
Lothian Hutchison vs Girvan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HER
1 - 4
LOT
15%
18%
67%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
LOT
7 - 0
CRA
86%
10%
5%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LOT
6 - 0
TYN
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LEI
0 - 4
LOT
33%
23%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
STI
2 - 4
LOT
13%
17%
70%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Girvan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 3
GIR
12%
18%
71%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
WHI
3 - 1
GIR
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 5
AUC
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
GIR
80%
14%
7%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
GIR
70%
17%
12%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |