Lota Schwager vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
OHI
3 - 3
LOT
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2007 |
LOT
1 - 4
CDM
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
LOT
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
LOT
1 - 1
NUB
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
ACS
3 - 2
LOT
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 0
PAL
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
PUE
1 - 3
UCO
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 0
COQ
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
UCH
1 - 0
UCO
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |