Tercera A Etapas Finales. Final
Global 1-2
Lota Schwager vs Municipal Mejillones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LOT
0 - 3
CDP
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CDP
0 - 1
LOT
22%
25%
53%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
DLI
1 - 2
LOT
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LOT
3 - 2
PRO
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
REN
2 - 1
LOT
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal Mejillones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MEJ
1 - 0
OVA
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MEJ
4 - 3
QUI
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 1
MEJ
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BDS
3 - 5
MEJ
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
OVA
2 - 2
MEJ
56%
24%
21%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |