Los Andes vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
66.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Andes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
LAN
6 - 0
AND
70%
18%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
AND
1 - 0
HUR
45%
25%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
ALM
2 - 2
AND
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
AND
2 - 2
BEL
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
AND
1 - 1
NOB
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
UCH
2 - 3
RIV
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
RIV
4 - 1
TAL
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
IND
0 - 1
RIV
34%
25%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
RIV
4 - 1
CEN
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
FLA
1 - 2
RIV
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |