Lorient vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
REN
2 - 0
LOR
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
VAL
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 1
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
3 - 0
ASS
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 0
MAR
18%
24%
58%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SOC
3 - 0
TFC
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 0
ASN
44%
28%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 1
TFC
47%
27%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
TFC
3 - 2
GIR
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |