Lorient vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
ETG
4 - 0
LOR
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SOC
1 - 0
LOR
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LOR
0 - 1
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TFC
0 - 1
LOR
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 2
LOR
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
ASS
0 - 0
GIR
44%
26%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LYO
1 - 1
ASS
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
ASS
4 - 2
AJA
62%
21%
16%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 0
REN
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 2
LOR
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |