Lorient vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
CHA
1 - 0
LOR
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1996 |
OLY
1 - 2
LOR
27%
29%
44%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
LOR
2 - 0
STL
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
FCM
3 - 0
LOR
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
LOR
2 - 0
TFC
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
ASN
1 - 0
OLY
70%
20%
11%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1996 |
STL
0 - 0
ASN
49%
27%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
ASN
1 - 1
FCM
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
TFC
0 - 0
ASN
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
ASN
0 - 0
LIL
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |