Lorient vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
18º
16º
41
4º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NAN
5 - 3
LOR
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 2
MON
22%
23%
55%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LHA
3 - 0
LOR
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
4 - 1
LIL
25%
26%
48%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 1
NIC
31%
27%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MPL
0 - 0
REN
30%
24%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
STR
2 - 2
MPL
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 0
MPL
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MPL
1 - 3
REI
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LYO
1 - 4
MPL
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |