Lorient vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NAN
1 - 0
LOR
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
YZE
1 - 0
LOR
10%
18%
72%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 2
LYO
29%
25%
47%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 2
LOR
26%
27%
48%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 0
REN
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 0
ASS
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
BOU
0 - 2
GUI
22%
25%
54%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
TFC
0 - 0
GUI
55%
26%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 2
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
GUI
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |