Lorient vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
MPL
0 - 3
LOR
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
LOR
2 - 2
AMI
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
LOR
0 - 0
LHA
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 1
LOR
62%
22%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2005 |
LOR
2 - 1
CHA
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
FCG
2 - 2
CAE
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 0
FCG
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
FCG
0 - 0
DIJ
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
IST
0 - 1
FCG
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
FCG
1 - 1
STL
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |