Lorient vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
ASS
1 - 1
LOR
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
LOR
3 - 4
LMU
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
MET
2 - 1
LOR
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
IST
1 - 1
LOR
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 0
TFC
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
NIO
2 - 0
TFC
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
REI
1 - 1
NIO
47%
26%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
NIO
1 - 3
IST
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
GRE
1 - 0
NIO
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
NIO
2 - 0
AMI
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |