Lorient vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
LOR
2 - 1
BRE
34%
25%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
VAL
3 - 0
LOR
22%
24%
53%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 0
AUX
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
STA
0 - 1
LOR
1%
4%
95%
|
73 | 25 | 48 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
ORL
0 - 4
LOR
23%
25%
53%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 2
CAE
4%
10%
87%
|
64 | 20 | 44 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
CAE
0 - 0
CLE
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
ROD
2 - 1
CAE
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAE
19%
21%
60%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
39%
28%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |