Lorient vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
3 - 1
LOR
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
MPL
1 - 2
LOR
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 0
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
REN
2 - 0
LOR
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
VAL
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
AJA
0 - 2
GIR
19%
23%
58%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
AJA
79%
15%
7%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 3
PSG
16%
24%
61%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DIJ
1 - 1
AJA
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
AJA
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |