Lorient U19 vs Avranches U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
7º
4º
30
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
15% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
GUI
4 - 4
LOR
43%
22%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
LOR
4 - 1
BER
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LAV
5 - 2
LOR
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LOR
0 - 0
SRS
82%
11%
7%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
REN
0 - 1
LOR
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
AVR
5 - 1
STA
33%
25%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AVR
0 - 0
ANG
35%
25%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TOU
1 - 2
AVR
27%
24%
49%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 0
AVR
62%
21%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AVR
3 - 3
BER
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |