Lorient II vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
MON
0 - 2
LOR
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 0
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SAI
0 - 3
LOR
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
LOR
5 - 1
CON
64%
21%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
PON
0 - 0
LPS
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
VOL
1 - 2
PON
37%
25%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
PON
2 - 2
QUC
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 2
PON
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
VIT
4 - 2
PON
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |