Lorient II vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
PON
1 - 1
LOR
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 3
LES
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FON
1 - 1
LOR
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
ROM
26%
24%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
LOR
46%
25%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
LEH
1 - 2
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CON
1 - 4
LEM
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LUC
4 - 3
CON
61%
24%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CON
4 - 1
VCH
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |