Third Division Luxembourg Round 20

Lorentzweiler vs Marisca Mersch analysis

Lorentzweiler Marisca Mersch
28 ELO 41
17.6% Tilt 6%
28828º General ELO ranking 3198º
52º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
32%
Lorentzweiler
22.3%
Draw
45.7%
Marisca Mersch

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
Lorentzweiler
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
45.7%
Win probability
Marisca Mersch
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lorentzweiler
-24%
-28%
Marisca Mersch

ELO progression

Lorentzweiler
Marisca Mersch
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lorentzweiler
Lorentzweiler
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2012
DCE
Daring Echternach
5 - 2
Lorentzweiler
LOR
38%
23%
39%
32 26 6 0
25 Mar. 2012
LOR
Lorentzweiler
3 - 1
Alliance Aischdall
FCA
29%
21%
50%
29 40 11 +3
18 Mar. 2012
RES
Résidence Walferdange
1 - 0
Lorentzweiler
LOR
39%
24%
37%
30 26 4 -1
11 Mar. 2012
LOR
Lorentzweiler
0 - 1
Sporting Mertzig
MER
54%
21%
25%
31 32 1 -1
04 Mar. 2012
JEU
Jeunesse Schieren
2 - 1
Lorentzweiler
LOR
42%
24%
34%
31 28 3 0

Matches

Marisca Mersch
Marisca Mersch
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2012
MAR
Marisca Mersch
1 - 1
Green Boys
GRE
61%
20%
19%
40 35 5 0
25 Mar. 2012
FEU
Feulen
3 - 0
Marisca Mersch
MAR
23%
22%
56%
43 30 13 -3
18 Mar. 2012
MAR
Marisca Mersch
1 - 2
Atert Bissen
ATE
55%
22%
24%
44 39 5 -1
11 Mar. 2012
MAR
Marisca Mersch
1 - 1
Orania Vianden
ORA
68%
19%
14%
44 35 9 0
04 Mar. 2012
DCE
Daring Echternach
1 - 2
Marisca Mersch
MAR
17%
20%
63%
44 25 19 0