Lorentzweiler vs Bastendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BWM
2 - 2
LOR
52%
22%
26%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 2
LOR
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LOR
4 - 2
PRE
84%
10%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ERP
4 - 2
LOR
59%
20%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 3
ALI
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
RES
81%
13%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 5
BAS
66%
18%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 1
ORA
46%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
KEH
3 - 2
BAS
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
MER
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |