Copa del Rey . 1/128
Global 6-3
CF Lorca Deportiva vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
PUE
1 - 1
LOR
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
LOR
2 - 2
ALG
47%
32%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
PBL
3 - 0
LOR
42%
30%
28%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
CEL
2 - 1
LOR
65%
22%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
LOR
1 - 0
CAD
28%
31%
41%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
HOR
0 - 4
CIE
41%
27%
32%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
CIE
1 - 1
TCF
64%
22%
14%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
ALC
1 - 1
CIE
30%
28%
42%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
TCF
1 - 0
CIE
44%
26%
30%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
CIE
4 - 0
PIN
75%
17%
8%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |