Lorca Atlético CF vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Atlético CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
RJA
2 - 0
LOR
57%
26%
17%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LOR
4 - 1
POL
34%
28%
38%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 0
LOR
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 2
EST
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
YEC
1 - 2
LOR
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AGD
0 - 1
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
RJA
3 - 0
AGD
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CAD
0 - 0
AGD
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AGD
2 - 1
SEV
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SRQ
0 - 2
AGD
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |