Lommel SK vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lommel SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LOM
2 - 0
WOL
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
GEE
2 - 2
LOM
22%
24%
53%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LOM
2 - 1
KSV
72%
19%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LOM
2 - 0
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LOM
1 - 0
KSC
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 1
GEE
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
KSV
1 - 2
EXC
38%
26%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 0
HEI
53%
24%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
PAT
0 - 1
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
WSB
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |