Lokomotiva vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
9º
7º
49
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HNS
0 - 4
LOK
28%
27%
46%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 0
OSI
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DZG
2 - 1
LOK
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NKV
0 - 0
LOK
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 1
IST
63%
20%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 0
HNG
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HKS
1 - 2
RIJ
60%
21%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HNS
1 - 2
RIJ
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
OSI
1 - 1
RIJ
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
BUD
0 - 2
RIJ
25%
23%
52%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |