A PFG Round 29

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dunav Ruse analysis

Lokomotiv Sofia Dunav Ruse
76 ELO 68
8.5% Tilt 5.1%
2023º General ELO ranking 2964º
13º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
65.6%
Lokomotiv Sofia
20.6%
Draw
13.8%
Dunav Ruse

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.8%
Win probability
Dunav Ruse
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lokomotiv Sofia
+24%
+28%
Dunav Ruse

ELO progression

Lokomotiv Sofia
Dunav Ruse
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 1990
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
0 - 1
Botev Plovdiv
BOT
53%
24%
23%
76 77 1 0
12 May. 1990
ETA
Etar 1924
2 - 2
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
52%
24%
24%
76 76 0 0
02 May. 1990
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
3 - 0
Beroe
BER
59%
22%
19%
75 72 3 +1
28 Apr. 1990
SLI
Sliven
1 - 2
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
50%
25%
26%
75 73 2 0
22 Apr. 1990
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
2 - 0
Hebar Pazardzhik
HEB
75%
16%
9%
75 60 15 0

Matches

Dunav Ruse
Dunav Ruse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 1990
DUN
Dunav Ruse
2 - 2
CSKA Sofia
CSK
33%
28%
39%
68 79 11 0
12 May. 1990
BOT
Botev Plovdiv
2 - 1
Dunav Ruse
DUN
70%
18%
11%
69 77 8 -1
02 May. 1990
DUN
Dunav Ruse
1 - 0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
49%
26%
26%
68 67 1 +1
28 Apr. 1990
ETA
Etar 1924
0 - 1
Dunav Ruse
DUN
71%
18%
11%
67 77 10 +1
21 Apr. 1990
DUN
Dunav Ruse
0 - 0
Lokomotiv GO
LOK
53%
26%
22%
68 67 1 -1