A PFG Round 25

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Cherno More Varna analysis

Lokomotiv Sofia Cherno More Varna
79 ELO 69
-6.5% Tilt -20.4%
2026º General ELO ranking 807º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
67.6%
Lokomotiv Sofia
20.2%
Draw
12.2%
Cherno More Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.1%
Win probability
Cherno More Varna
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lokomotiv Sofia
+40%
-9%
Cherno More Varna

ELO progression

Lokomotiv Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 1979
SPA
Spartak Pleven
0 - 1
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
44%
28%
28%
79 66 13 0
23 Mar. 1979
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
3 - 1
Slavia Sofia
SSO
51%
25%
23%
78 78 0 +1
18 Mar. 1979
CHB
Chernomoretz Burgas
1 - 0
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
53%
26%
21%
78 74 4 0
14 Mar. 1979
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
1 - 0
Botev Plovdiv
BOT
58%
24%
18%
78 75 3 0
10 Mar. 1979
SLI
Sliven
1 - 0
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
48%
28%
24%
79 71 8 -1

Matches

Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 1979
CVA
Cherno More Varna
3 - 2
Marek
MAR
42%
27%
31%
68 76 8 0
24 Mar. 1979
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
60%
23%
17%
69 72 3 -1
18 Mar. 1979
CVA
Cherno More Varna
1 - 2
Beroe
BER
44%
26%
30%
70 73 3 -1
14 Mar. 1979
LSO
Levski Sofia
2 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
77%
15%
8%
70 78 8 0
11 Mar. 1979
AKA
Akademik Sofia
0 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
57%
24%
20%
70 72 2 0