Lokomotiv Septemvri vs Mesta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Septemvri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
VDD
0 - 0
LOS
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LOS
2 - 1
MIN
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CHE
0 - 3
LOS
20%
21%
60%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
LOS
4 - 0
GER
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
HEB
1 - 2
LOS
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
MES
0 - 1
PEK
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MES
1 - 1
VEL
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
VDD
1 - 0
MES
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
MES
3 - 0
MIN
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +5 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 2
MES
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |