Liga Bulgaria - Play Offs Europa League Semi-finals

Global 3-4

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna analysis

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Cherno More Varna
73 ELO 72
7.1% Tilt 3.7%
1948º General ELO ranking 804º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
50.8%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
23.8%
Draw
25.4%
Cherno More Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.4%
Win probability
Cherno More Varna
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
+14%
-2%
Cherno More Varna

ELO progression

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 2018
CVA
Cherno More Varna
2 - 1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
36%
26%
39%
74 71 3 0
13 May. 2018
SSO
Slavia Sofia
0 - 3
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
52%
23%
25%
72 75 3 +2
04 May. 2018
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3 - 1
Slavia Sofia
SSO
36%
25%
39%
71 76 5 +1
30 Apr. 2018
ETA
Etar 1924
1 - 1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
38%
26%
37%
71 64 7 0
23 Apr. 2018
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0 - 2
Septemvri Sofia
SEP
64%
21%
15%
73 64 9 -2

Matches

Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 2018
CVA
Cherno More Varna
2 - 1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
36%
26%
39%
71 74 3 0
11 May. 2018
SEP
Septemvri Sofia
1 - 2
Cherno More Varna
CVA
33%
25%
41%
71 64 7 0
05 May. 2018
CVA
Cherno More Varna
2 - 1
Septemvri Sofia
SEP
51%
25%
24%
70 64 6 +1
28 Apr. 2018
FKV
Vitosha Bistritsa
1 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
16%
25%
59%
71 54 17 -1
20 Apr. 2018
CVA
Cherno More Varna
2 - 0
Slavia Sofia
SSO
32%
28%
40%
72 77 5 -1