Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Drenovets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
11º
4º
28
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 31 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
YPT
1 - 1
LOK
45%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 0
PAR
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VIH
1 - 3
LOK
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 0
ASV
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
OFK
0 - 3
LOK
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Drenovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FKD
0 - 0
ASV
18%
20%
63%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OFK
2 - 1
FKD
36%
24%
41%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FKD
3 - 0
DLO
69%
16%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 0
FKD
87%
9%
3%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FKD
2 - 1
ETR
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |