Lokeren vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
KSK
5 - 1
LOK
38%
25%
38%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
GNK
2 - 2
LOK
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
RAA
1 - 1
LOK
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
2 - 1
LOK
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
LOK
2 - 1
CER
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 1
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 1
BRU
26%
24%
51%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
5 - 0
LIE
57%
22%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 3
KSK
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
STR
3 - 6
EXC
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |