Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Loja vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
LOJ
74%
16%
9%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 0
HUE
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
LOJ
32%
27%
41%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 0
ALH
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
PAL
4 - 1
LOJ
38%
27%
36%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
LOJ
74%
16%
9%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
BAL
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
MAR
9%
19%
72%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MAR
6 - 0
PLU
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 0
MAR
10%
20%
70%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |