Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Loja vs CD Palencia Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
CDP
1 - 2
LOJ
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
LOJ
7 - 1
ALH
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ATA
1 - 3
LOJ
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
LOJ
4 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LOJ
2 - 1
CDR
79%
15%
7%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Palencia Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
CDP
1 - 2
LOJ
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
STM
4 - 1
CDP
14%
23%
64%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CDP
0 - 1
VIL
68%
20%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SDA
1 - 2
CDP
22%
26%
53%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CDP
3 - 0
UXA
74%
17%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |