Logan Lightning vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
71.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
LOG
2 - 2
MOR
24%
21%
56%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
SUN
3 - 1
LOG
58%
20%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
OLY
3 - 0
LOG
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
LOG
3 - 2
GOL
25%
20%
56%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
RED
0 - 4
LOG
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
BRR
1 - 2
PEN
14%
19%
67%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 0
CAP
88%
9%
3%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
GCK
1 - 4
PEN
37%
24%
38%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
PEN
7 - 0
BRI
86%
10%
5%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 1
PEN
39%
24%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |