Logan Lightning vs Mitchelton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ALB
3 - 3
LOG
65%
17%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LOG
0 - 5
PEN
38%
22%
41%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CAP
4 - 1
LOG
51%
20%
28%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
LOG
3 - 1
QUE
13%
16%
71%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +6 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
HPH
4 - 1
LOG
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MIT
2 - 1
ROC
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
MIT
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
MIT
3 - 1
NPI
82%
12%
7%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 1
MIT
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 0
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | +1 |