Logan Lightning vs Ipswich Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
20.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 3
LOG
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
WOL
2 - 2
LOG
73%
15%
13%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LOG
0 - 0
MIT
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
LOG
14%
18%
68%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
LOG
2 - 3
ALB
60%
20%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
IPS
3 - 3
ALB
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
IPS
1 - 2
ROC
25%
20%
55%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
IPS
80%
12%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 1
IPS
54%
20%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
IPS
4 - 1
TAR
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |