Locarno vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
MEY
2 - 3
LOC
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
CON
4 - 3
LOC
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
LOC
0 - 1
SIO
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
KUS
1 - 2
LOC
9%
16%
75%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
WIL
4 - 2
LOC
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
LUG
3 - 1
CHI
37%
26%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
LAU
1 - 0
LUG
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 2
YOB
17%
22%
62%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
LUG
2 - 1
WIL
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
SIO
3 - 0
LUG
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |