Locarno vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
23.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1987 |
LOC
4 - 1
YOB
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1987 |
LAC
0 - 1
LOC
49%
22%
29%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1987 |
LOC
3 - 5
BAS
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1987 |
FCA
3 - 1
LOC
79%
14%
8%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1987 |
LOC
0 - 0
BEL
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1991 |
FCA
1 - 2
NEX
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
ZUR
0 - 0
FCA
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
STG
2 - 0
FCA
63%
22%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
FCA
0 - 1
SER
34%
26%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCA
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |