Lobos ULMX vs CA Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
5º
10º
10º
16
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 15 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ADP
6 - 2
LUL
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 2
GAV
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 1
LUL
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
IRA
0 - 0
LUL
70%
19%
10%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 0
COL
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
CA Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ZAC
3 - 1
IRA
20%
26%
54%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
ZAC
25%
23%
51%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 1
COR
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 1
ZAC
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
REB
40%
27%
32%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |