Llaranes B vs UD Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
36.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaranes B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AVI
4 - 3
LRN
74%
15%
12%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LRN
2 - 1
CAR
28%
22%
51%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CRN
1 - 0
LRN
59%
19%
21%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LRN
1 - 6
BOA
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
HIS
6 - 0
LRN
80%
12%
8%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
PUE
41%
23%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LES
0 - 3
CAS
44%
22%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
CDP
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MCU
4 - 0
CAS
59%
21%
20%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
AST
7%
14%
79%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |