Llaneros vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
JAG
0 - 1
LLA
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 0
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
LLA
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 0
AFC
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 0
RIO
34%
23%
43%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
PER
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
RSC
1 - 0
UNI
37%
29%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
CAR
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
UNI
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |